College Football Daily Fantasy Helper: Friday 11/25/22

With daily fantasy football being so popular, it was only a matter of time before it carried over to the collegiate level.

FanDuel now offers daily fantasy college football competitions in most states, and there’s a twist in the NFL ruleset. You select a quarterback, two running backs, three wideouts (which may contain tight ends), and a “SuperFLEX” who can fill any of those positions.

Finding target dates for college passers can be difficult, so finding out which players are on the field and getting work can make all the difference. Of course, there are more one-sided outcomes in college too, so balance game scripts appropriately too! Your running back’s monstrous first half could lead to a bagel in the second.

Thanksgiving weekend is great for football because we have two days of pro football and two days of college. Black Friday is first, and there are ranked teams on this list as well, scattered across fun group-of-5 matchups.

Note: All statistics are from PFF.com. All tables can be sorted according to any category.

the slate

Utah St boise st -16.5 51.5 17.5 34
Baylor Texas -8.5 55.5 23.5 32
Tulane cincinnati -1.5 44.5 21.5 23
CMichigan E Michigan -1.5 54.5 26.5 28
Toledo WMichigan +7.5 51.5 29.5 22
Arizona St Arizona -3.5 65.5 31 34.5
New Mexico State of Colo -7.5 35.5 14 21.5
Arkansas Missouri +3.5 55.5 29.5 26
NC state N Carolina -6.5 55.5 24.5 31
Nebraska Iowa -10.5 38.5 14 24.5
UCLA cal +10.5 61.5 36 25.5
Florida florida st -9.5 57.5 24 33.5

Typically, Saturday’s FanDuel main rosters are loaded with high totals, elite quarterbacks and insane scoring. This slate is very diverse with several spots to avoid entirely.

The best game is the duel in the desert between Arizona State and Arizona. The overall score of 65.5 is well ahead of all others. Still, we have other potential shootouts like UCLA-California and North Carolina State-North Carolina. The large spreads at others are of great concern.

There are also places that you should generally avoid. In Iowa, for example, not many points will be available. The 35.5-point total between New Mexico and Colorado State is pretty damn fun, too.

Defensive matchups and leaderboards

Note: Higher numbers are easier matchups for the opposing team. Lower numbers mean better rankings and tougher matchups.

Utah St 31 119
boise st 22 29
Baylor 54 42
Texas 29 18
Tulane 18 54
cincinnati 7 17
CMichigan 65 55
E Michigan 69 66
Toledo 24 65
WMichigan 107 84
Arizona St 58 121
Arizona 88 126
New Mexico 105 87
State of Colo 40 83
Arkansas 115 115
Missouri 57 35
NC state 60 30
N Carolina 111 102
Nebraska 72 95
Iowa 1 8th
UCLA 78 44
cal 95 43
Florida 101 104
florida st 5 37

Arkansas, Florida and UNC are terrible defenses that we’ve been picking on during Saturday dinners all year. That’s not going to change here, adding Western Michigan, New Mexico, and Arizona to that list on this little board.

We have several impressive defenses on this board including both Tulane and Cincinnati facing each other. I just don’t have much interest as a result. Iowa, Boise State and Toledo also held up solidly against their competition.

Florida State and Texas are also two of the better defenses on the slate, which is why I’m reluctant to stack those games despite having above-average totals.

In terms of matchups, Cal, UCLA, and NC State are easier to throw than run. On the contrary, the states of Utah, Colorado and Nebraska fared far worse against the onslaught.

quarterbacks

Drake Maye ($12,000) has benefited from an exceptionally easy schedule this year. It crashed last week in single-digit FanDuel points against Georgia Tech.

Considering NC State is in the top-60 in yards per attempt (YPA) against rush and pass, Maye won’t have his easiest day here either. This is why I choose UCLA’s dual threat Dorian Thompson Robinson ($11,800) as my top man taking on Cal’s bottom 40 pass defense.

Tucker Gleason ($11,000) is not well known to many, but Toledo’s signal-caller threw it 40 times last week, and he’ll draw WMU’s terrible pass defense. He’s not much of a threat judging by the mileage but he did score two goals on the ground last week.

per dollar salary, Jordan Travis ($10,200) could challenge any of them. Travis hasn’t walked as much in his second campaign as he did last year, but Florida is outside the YPA top 100 in both phases. He’s going to have a monster day and FSU’s market shares are spread out, so he’s the surest way to get a chunk of their offensive power.

KJ Jefferson ($10,500) doesn’t have the easiest matchup with Missouri’s pass defense at No. 57, so I’d lean towards Brady Cook ($8,300) play as value in this game. Cook appears to have turned a corner; Remember, he scored 27.3 FanDuel points against Tennessee and kept it going with 29.1 during last week’s pseudo-bye week against New Mexico State.

If you’re looking for a sneaky punt at SuperFLEX, Ben Finley ($6,500) will make his second career start for the Wolfpack against the terrible defenses of Maye and UNC. In a planned shootout Ryan Finley‘s brother could ball.

Running backs

Both marquee backs on this table are in sneaky, hard matchups.

Bijan Robinson ($10,700) and Zach Charbonnet ($10,200) are studs, but Robinson pulls Baylor’s 42nd rush defense and Charbonnet gets Cal’s 43rd unit. Both could still score multiple points with rush shares over 55.0%, but neither is a slam dunk for more than 30 FanDuel points.

Xazavian Valladay ($9,600) could be a slam dunk. In the highest total of the day, he’s garnered 70.4% of ASU’s total carries over the past two weeks, and the 126th-ranked Wildcats’ rush defense is terrible. On the other hand, Michael Wiley ($8,400) got 21 carries in a positive script for Arizona two weeks ago. He’s a decent bet if they end up catching a lead.

Opposite Charbonnet, Jadyn Ott ($8,900) has one of the best workloads for the Golden Bears, recording 72.4% of their carries over the past three weeks. UCLA’s rush defense leaked against Southern Cal last week.

Who knew UNC would have a feature back? Elijah Green ($8,100) did just that with 63.5% of the heels’ carries in the last three games.

I’m not afraid of Calvin Tyler Jr ($7,800) despite the spread against Boise. He’s racked up 25+ carries in positive matchups, and the Broncos’ rush defense at No. 29 could be bolstered by an incredibly easy schedule.

However, there is also the best value game on the board here. Avery Morrow ($7,000) is a de facto free square. Colorado State hasn’t played with a lead often, but they’re 7.5-point favorites over the Lobos’ poor rush defense, and Morrow will benefit from that. He has amassed 89.8% of CSU carries in his last three years. My goodness.

Another boom-or-bust value play could be Anthony Grant ($5,900). He’s a talented defender who gets 84.2% of Nebraska’s carry, but his opponent (Iowa) is a brutal duel.

wide receiver

It’s incredibly worrying Josh Downs ($10,000) only got five targets last week. That’s a huge salary to pay when Maye looks like he could take it or leave it any week.

I prefer to invest Jacob Cowing ($9,100), who has seen 8.7 goals per game in his last three for Arizona. In addition, the total is 10 points higher in the west. Elijah Badger ($8,400)who has averaged 9.7 goals per game in his last three games is an obvious option at the other end for the Sun Devils.

This broad shale is deeper than it is stellar. Tory Horton ($8,600) is another CSU Ram who could benefit from his competitive retreat, and his 37.1% target share this year tops the entire list.

Behind him I love Xavier Worthy ($8,200) in a game where Texas should have an easier time rushing than throwing. He has a solid 28.5% share for the year.

Like Morrow for running backs, Brian Cobbs ($7,500) pops everywhere for wideouts. He has a 29.9% goal percentage this year and has had 10.3 goals (36.5%) per game over the past three weeks. He is also in a projected negative script.

Trey Palmer ($7,900) is his usual high volume, evil offense play for the Huskers. He’s racked up an absurd 44.0% percentage of Nebraska’s goals over the past three weeks. Jerjuan Newton ($8,500), J Michael Sturdivant ($7,600)and Jake Bobo ($7,600) are the others with a share of at least 20.0% in the last three weeks – and for the season – on this board.

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