Game preview, guide, prediction


State of San Diego wants to end the season with a winning streak


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Regular Season Finals

WEK 12: Air Force (8-3) vs. San Diego State Aztecs (7-4)

IF: Saturday, November 26 at 7:00 PM MT/6:00 PM PT

WHERE: Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, California

WEATHER: Sure, 60 degrees Fahrenheit

TV: CBS sports network

RADIO: San Diego Sport 760

SERIAL RECORDING: Air Force leads San Diego State, 19-18

LAST MEETING: Oct 23, 2021 – SDSU def. Air Force, 20-14

WEB PAGES: Air Force Academy Athletics | San Diego State Athletics

OPPORTUNITIES: Air Force (-1.5)

San Diego State will look to extend its winning streak to four games in Week 13. The Aztecs ended the last away game of the season with a 34-10 win over New Mexico. The offensive played at a high level and put the game away until the end of the second quarter. New Mexico didn’t score at all in the second half.

It’s been a stressful season for the Aztecs, but this winning streak calmed the nerves of many doubters. After losing to Fresno State on Oct. 29, San Diego State’s season seemed to be coming off. Fortunately, San Diego State responded with three straight wins over UNLV, San Jose State and New Mexico.

For the Air Force, this season did not live up to the team’s expectations. Air Force was about to make an appearance in the Mountain West Championship Game. The loss to Boise State on October 22 hurt the Air Force’s chances of bidding for the championship game. Air Force responded to that loss with three straight victories over Army, New Mexico and Colorado State.

How San Diego State Can Win

San Diego State will need another outstanding performance from Jalen Mayden. Aside from his interception against New Mexico, Mayden had a remarkable performance in last Friday’s 24-point win. Mayden finished the game with 280 passing yards and 2 passing touchdowns. He completed 60% of his attempted passes.

Defense needs to slow down the Air Force’s ongoing game. The Falcons are only likely to continue playing offensively if forced to do so. Air Force quarterback Haaziq Daniels can open up the running game with his speed and ability to munch short distances.

San Diego State must schedule Brad Roberts to run the ball at least 25 times. In Week 12, Roberts had 37 carries for 184 total yards and a touchdown. Roberts will be a threat and the Aztecs will have to grab the line of scrimmage. If they can minimize Roberts’ damage, it will make it harder for the other running backs and receivers to contribute to the game in progress.

Forecast:

The outcome will depend on both defenses. Air Force defenses will attempt to limit Mayden’s throwing ability, forcing him to throw into narrow windows. If the Air Force can slow Mayden in the passing game, it could pose a problem for San Diego State. Mayden will be able to adjust and have at least one passing touchdown in play.

As for defense, if San Diego State can avoid giving up large ground gains to the Air Force, it should be a competitive game. As the two teams are close in terms of talent, it should be a close game.

Don’t expect San Diego State to score many points for strong Air Force defenses. The Aztecs cannot afford to allow the Air Force to throw the ball successfully. Air Force has been the more consistent team this season and should be able to win the away win against San Diego State.

Final- Air Force def. SDSU, 24-20

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