New Mexico State Aggies (4-6) vs. Liberty Flames (8-3)
Nov. 26, 2022 12:00 p.m. EDT
The Line: Liberty Flames -24 / New Mexico State Aggies +24; Over/Under: +51.5
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The New Mexico State Aggies and Liberty Flames clash in college football action at Williams Stadium on Saturday. New Mexico State finished a matchup against Missouri last weekend. In this case, the Aggies fell in blowout fashion. Liberty played against Virginia Tech in their last game. The Flames would go on to lose by a point. Check out free college football tips all season long at Sports Chat Place.
New Mexico State lost its first four games of the year before finally clinching a win over Hawaii on Sept. 24. The Aggies lost to FIU in the next game and then beat New Mexico, UMass and Lamar in the following three games.
On Saturday against Missouri, the Aggies were down 21-0 after two quarters. New Mexico State ended in a 45-14 blowout loss. QB Diego Pavia had 76 yards and an interception while also leading the rush for 50 yards from nine carries.
On the Liberty side, they beat Southern Miss, UAB, Akron, Old Dominion, UMass, Gardner-Webb, BYU and Arkansas in their first 10 games that year. The two losses in this period came from Wake Forest and UConn.
In the Virginia Tech game, Liberty went into the fourth quarter at 22:17. The Flames gave up six of those in a 23-22 loss. QB Kaidon Salter rushed for 119 yards and Shedro Louis led the rush with 64 yards and nine carries.
The Aggies are 21-44-1 ATS against a team with a track record and 8-18-2 ATS in their last 28 on turf. New Mexico State is ATS 2-5 in their last seven away games.
Meanwhile, the Flames are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 conference games and 11-5 ATS in their last 16 at home. Liberty is 0-4 ATS against a team with a losing record.
SELECT: I’m leaning towards Liberty but probably staying away. The Flames suffered a heavy loss to Virginia Tech, totaling 332 yards (115 rushing) and 20 first downs. Liberty did a pretty good job defensively through the fourth quarter, but they also gave up 3-of-3 on fourth-down conversions.
As for New Mexico State, they had a pretty offensive offensive play against Missouri over the weekend, totaling 259 yards and 16 first downs. It will probably be easier to find some daylight in this one, but I don’t think the Aggies will cover.
Andrea’s free choice:
Freedom Flames -24