10/29/2022; Fresno, California, USA; San Diego State Aztecs wide receiver Jesse Matthews (45) celebrates with offensive lineman Ross Ulugalu-Maseuli (63) after scoring a touchdown against the Fresno State Bulldogs in the third quarter at Valley Children’s Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Cary Edmondson-USA TODAY Sports
- The San Diego State Aztecs are back in their college football game scheduled for Friday, May 18
- San Diego State has won New Mexico eight times in a row
- Check out the story below for all the details on the odds, spreads and predictions between San Diego State and New Mexico
Looking at the scoreboard alone, the San Diego State Aztecs (6-4, 4-6 ATS) clearly dominate the New Mexico Lobos (2-8, 3-6-1 ATS). However, take a similar look at the rivalry from a betting perspective and it is the Lobos who are the dominant club.
San Diego State has won 8-0 in the last eight games between the two schools. New Mexico has not defeated the Aztecs in a game since 2008.
Factor in the point distribution and the matchup paints a very different picture. New Mexico is 12-4 against the spread in their last 16 games against San Diego State.
Nonetheless, it is the Aztecs who are seeded as 14.5-point street favorites over the Lobos in the recent renewal of this rivalry. San Diego State is 1-6 ATS in their last seven games in New Mexico.
San Diego State vs New Mexico Odds
|team||Spread||In total||money line|
|Aztecs of the state of San Diego||-14.5 (-110)||O39.5 (-110)||-650|
|New Mexico Lobos||+14.5 (-110)||U 39.5 (-110)||+460|
Odds as of November 15 at Caesars Sportsbook. See available Caesars Sportsbook bonus code here.
The line in that game opened at San Diego State -14 in the CFB odds. They will kick off this game on Friday, November 18th at 9:45pm ET at University Stadium. The weather forecast predicts cloudy skies, 5mph winds and a temperature of 41 degrees. The match can be viewed live on Fox Sports Network.
Aztecs vs Lobos Betting Trends
The public bet splits show that both spread and moneyline bettors are embracing the Aztecs. The state of San Diego scores 89% of spread trades and 55% of spread bets. There are also 65% of moneyline handles and 92% of moneyline bets supporting San Diego State.
The over gets the action on the grand total. It grabs 78% of the total handle and 82% of the total bets. The Under has been the winning game in six of the last eight games between these two schools.
Another low blow for Lobos
New Mexico was beaten 35-3 by the Air Force Falcons and took it again on the chin. In the past four weeks, the Lobos have been surpassed 124-45 in four losses. New Mexico has not managed to score more than 14 points in any of those games.
New Mexico ranks 129th in the FBS with 131 schools when it comes to offenses. The Lobos collect 14.7 points per game. They’ve been held to 10 points or fewer in four games this season. Only Massachusetts and Colorado (15 each) have scored fewer TDs than the 16 times New Mexico has visited the end zone.
Another shot at home! Let’s honor our 12 seniors Friday night at 7:45 p.m. and take advantage of the https://t.co/WOUd0UY6re sale for tix for FB, @UNMLoboMBB vs. NMSU and @UNMLoboWBB vs. Arizona State for just $25 #GoLobos pic.twitter.com/53TjX4d4vm
— New Mexico Football (@UNMLoboFB) November 14, 2022
The Lobos are 130th in passing efficiency (95.14). They threw three TD passes for an NCAA low. New Mexico is 127th in passing yardage per game (108.5) and 120th in completion percentage (53.7). The Lobos also rank 129th in first downs (142) and 125th in yards per completion (9.86) nationally.
He was sacked five times in last week’s loss to Air Force, New Mexico QB Justin Holaday. The Lobos have allowed 3.60 sacks per game. That’s 124th in the NCAA.
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Mayden makes it for San Diego State
Last week’s 43-27 win over San Jose State made the Aztecs Bowl eligible to play. San Diego State quarterback Jalen Mayden was a double threat in the defeat of the Spartans.
The Mountain West honors @AztecFB QB Jalen Mayden was named Offensive Player of the Week for his performance in SDSU’s 43-27 win over San Jose State. Mayden was 17-to-22 passes for 268 yards, with TD passes of 17, 20, and 66 yards. Oh, and he rushed for a game-high 61 yards. pic.twitter.com/ruvuWU7q7m
— Kirk D. Kenney (@sdutkirKDKenney) November 14, 2022
Mayden completed 77.3% of his passes (17 out of 22). He threw for three touchdowns against an interception. Mayden’s feet grazed 61 yards on 13 carries at game height. The performance earned him the Mountain West Conference Offensive Player of the Week award.
Receiver Tyrell Shavers caught four passes for 111 yards and a TD.
San Diego State vs New Mexico Prediction
Certainly New Mexico seems to be cannon fodder for the state of San Diego. The Lobos are 0-7 SU in their last seven games and 0-5 ATS in their last five games.
This is the eighth time in the last nine games between the two schools that the Aztecs are in double figures. They are 1-6 ATS in this scenario over the last seven results. This includes a 0-2 ATS board in New Mexico.
Choice: New Mexico +14.5 (-110).
As an industry veteran, Bob literally taught the history of sport course at the Elder College. He has worked as a sports columnist for Postmedia, has been a guest on several radio stations, has served as vice president of the Ontario Society For International Hockey Research, and has written 25 books.