San Diego State vs. New Mexico Prediction, Odds: 2022 Week 12 College Football Picks, Best Model Betting

The New Mexico Lobos will look to capitalize on a rare national spotlight game Friday night when they host the rising San Diego State Aztecs in a Mountain West Conference football contest. The Lobos (2-8, 0-6) have lost seven straight games and are winless in six conference competitions. But they’ve led at halftime in half their conference games and are looking to play a spoiler against a San Diego State club (6-4, 4-2) who have won four of their last five in a bid for the conference title.

Kickoff is scheduled for 9:45pm ET from University Stadium. The Aztecs are 14.5 point betting favorites and the over/under for total points scored is 36 in the latest San Diego State v New Mexico odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Before selecting New Mexico vs. San Diego State, be sure to review the SportsLine projection model college football predictions and betting advice.

The SportsLine projection model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the last 6+ years, the proprietary computer model has generated a staggering nearly $3,000 in profits for $100 players using its top-flight college football picks against the spread. Everyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.

Now the model has tuned in to San Diego State vs. New Mexico and just posted his college football picks and predictions. You can now go to SportsLine to see the model selection. Here are the San Diego State vs. New Mexico college football odds and betting lines:

  • Scoring San Diego State vs. New Mexico: San Diego State -14.5
  • San Diego State vs. New Mexico Over/Under: 36
  • San Diego State vs. New Mexico Monetary Limit: San Diego State -650, New Mexico +460
  • SDSU: The Aztecs are 8-3 against the spread in their recent Road 11 games against losing teams
  • UNM: The Lobos are 12-4 ATS in the last 16 matches of this series
  • San Diego State vs. New Mexico pick: See picks here

Featured Game | New Mexico Lobos vs. San Diego State Aztecs

Why San Diego State Can Cover

The improvement for San Diego State’s offense began about six weeks ago and appears to have been parked by an internal coaching change. Coach Brady Hoke promoted Jeff Horton to offensive coordinator and named Ryan Lindley, a former Aztec quarterback, as quarterback coach.

The staff decided on a move at quarterback to Jalen Mayden, and the offense immediately started clicking while he developed a strong connection with Lindley. Mayden made his first start on October 8 against Hawaii, throwing for 322 yards and a touchdown in the 16-14 win.

The Aztecs are now 4-1 with Mayden under center and the unit seems to be making progress as the season progresses. Last week, they had their best performance of the season against a San Jose State defense that ranks in the top 30 nationally in almost every major statistical category. Mayden threw for three career best touchdowns and 268 yards in the comeback win. For his efforts, he was named the Mountain West Conference Offensive Player of the Week.

Why New Mexico can cover

There are numerous awkward details that suggest the Lobos could keep Friday’s game competitive and maybe even pull off the complete upset. For one, their two wins of the season have both come at home, and they’ve been respectable at home in conference play. They led 14-7 at halftime in Wyoming and trailed only 13-6 behind Fresno State before losing games in the second half. Overall, the Lobos have led at halftime in three of their six MWC competitions.

Also, this is the last home game for a 12-player senior class. Coach Danny Gonzales told the media this week that he’s hoping for an effort that will send the seniors on a memorable note and help move the program forward in a positive way.

It can also be argued that this is a natural disappointment for the Aztecs after their comeback from a 14-point deficit against San Jose State last week. The conditions could also be an uncomfortable change for a club that spent the week training in San Diego’s 70-degree weather. Temperatures are forecast to be close to freezing by the time Las Cruces kicks off.

How to make San Diego State vs. New Mexico picks

The model ran San Diego State vs. New Mexico 10,000 times and the results are in. It leans on the total score and projects 36 total points scored. It also generated a point spread pick that hits 60% of the simulations. You can only see the model selection at SportsLine.

So who will win San Diego State vs. New Mexico? And which side of the spread is correct in 60% of the simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump to, all from the model who crushed his college football picks, and find out.