San Diego State vs. New Mexico Prediction, Odds: 2022 Week 12 College Football Tips, Betting by Proven Model

The rising San Diego State Aztecs take on the struggling New Mexico Lobos in a Mountain West Conference football game Friday night. The Aztecs (6-4, 4-2) have won four of their last five and still have a chance of reaching the conference title game should they win their last two and some help from first-seeded Fresno State (6-4, 5 – 1) in the west department. Last week, the Aztecs closed an early 14-point deficit to beat San Jose State 43-27 in their best all-around performance of the season. New Mexico (2-8, 0-6) have lost seven straight games but are hoping to spoil the game with an upset to avoid a potentially winless campaign in conference play.

Kick-off is scheduled for 9:45 p.m. ET from University Stadium in Albuquerque. The Aztecs are 14.5-point favorites in the latest San Diego State vs. New Mexico odds from Caesars Sportsbook and the over/under for total points scored is set at 37.5. Before setting your own New Mexico vs. San Diego State picks, be sure to review the SportsLine projection model college football predictions and betting advice.

The SportsLine projection model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the last 6+ years, the proprietary computer model has generated a staggering nearly $3,000 in profits for $100 players using its top-flight college football picks against the spread. Everyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.

Now the model has tuned in to San Diego State vs. New Mexico and just posted his college football picks and predictions. You can now go to SportsLine to see the model selection. Here are the San Diego State vs. New Mexico college football odds and betting lines:

  • Scoring San Diego State vs. New Mexico: San Diego State -14.5
  • San Diego State vs. New Mexico Over/Under: 37.5
  • San Diego State vs. New Mexico Monetary Limit: San Diego State -650, New Mexico +460
  • SDSU: The Aztecs are 8-3 against the spread in their recent Road 11 games against losing teams
  • UNM: The Lobos are 12-4 ATS in the last 16 matches of this series
  • San Diego State vs. New Mexico pick: See picks here

Featured Game | New Mexico Lobos vs. San Diego State Aztecs

Why San Diego State Can Cover

After a 2-3 start to the season, the Aztecs have steadily improved and are now playing their best football of the year. The main culprit in her slow start was an anemic offense that once ranked low in almost every major FBS category. The Aztecs have recently reversed that trend and produced a stellar performance against San Jose State. San Diego State’s 31 combined points in the second and third quarters against the Spartans was more than they had in a single previous game against FBS opponents. His 425 total rushing yards was also a season-high against the FBS competition.

The main trigger for the rejuvenated offense was the quarterback’s switch to double-threat Jalen Mayden, who started to safety before receiving the call under center because of the team’s inefficiency at that position. The Mississippi-State transfer has displayed a live arm and an explosive run threat, which in addition to the club’s signature power run offense, causes plenty of worry for opponents. He completed 17 of 22 passes for 268 yards, three touchdowns and one interception against San Jose State. He added 61 rushing yards on 13 attempts.

Why New Mexico can cover

The Lobos had their own problems on offense, as their 14.7 points per game is the second-worst in the conference only after Colorado State’s 12.9. The defense was a bright spot, however, finishing fifth in the conference while rushing for 356 yards and 26.1 points per fight. A respectable running defense that allows for 4.2 yards per carry needs to improve to keep up with a San Diego State club that is hitting the ball 163.4 yards per game.

New Mexico had some success against upper league MWC opponents but failed to maintain the early momentum. The Lobos led 14-0 in the first half against both Wyoming and UNLV before faltering in the final two quarters. The Lobos also led Utah State 10-7 at the break.

How to make San Diego State vs. New Mexico picks

The model ran San Diego State vs. New Mexico 10,000 times and the results are in. It leans on the total score and projects 36 total points scored. It also generated a point spread pick that hits more than 60% of the simulations. You can only see the model selection at SportsLine.

So who will win San Diego State vs. New Mexico? And which side of the spread applies in more than 60% of the simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump to, all from the model who crushed his college football picks, and find out.