UNLV vs. New Mexico prediction, selection

UNLV rebels take on New Mexico Lobos. Our college basketball odds series includes our UNLV New Mexico prediction and selection. Find out how to watch UNLV New Mexico.

This game has become much more urgent for these two teams over the past week and a half. It was always going to be a big game – and it definitely is in the present moment, just before the tip – but now it’s a big, we’d better not lose, game for both sides. Over 10 days ago it turned into a kind of “this could really take us to greater heights” type game. Let’s explain:

UNLV only had one loss a week and a half ago, but then lost to San Jose State and San Diego State to play Mountain West. UNLV has been solid in the NCAA tournament and has now suffered some losses that are threatening its NCAA tournament prospects. New Mexico is still solid in the NCAA field, but after two very sluggish performances against Wyoming — a narrow win — and Fresno State in their first loss of the season, the Lobos have to wonder if they really are as good as they were 14-0 Start displayed. They were the last undefeated team in college basketball that season, but nobody gives awards or No. 1 seeds for those kinds of honors. If New Mexico loses five games in a row, it will be in trouble as far as the NCAA tournament is concerned. This game of UNLV is important to prevent the Lobos from falling into a rut and suffering a losing streak that throws them off rhythm. This is a big deal and both teams are trying to avoid a sustained slide.

Here are the UNLV-New Mexico college basketball odds, courtesy of FanDuel:

College Basketball Odds: UNLV New Mexico Odds

UNLV Rebels: +5.5 (-110)

New Mexico Lobos: -5.5 (-110)

Above: 149.5 (-110)

Below: 149.5 (-110)

How to watch UNLV vs. New Mexico

Television: CBS Sports Network

Stream: CBSSports.com

Time: 9:30pm ET, 6:30pm PT

*Watch UNLV-New Mexico LIVE with fuboTV (Click for Free Trial)*

Why UNLV could cover the spread

New Mexico could be on the verge of a significant regression to the mean after winning its first 14 games of the season. The Lobos played two teams — Wyoming and Fresno State — both of which went 5-8 into their final games against New Mexico last Saturday and Tuesday, respectively. Both games were very close. New Mexico was far from his game in both competitions. In Tuesday’s loss to Fresno State, New Mexico star guard Jaelen House made multiple turnovers and wasn’t the solid ground general he usually is. New Mexico started the game slowly, rallying to a 52-45 lead midway through the second half and then stumbling down the stretch, missing its final shots from the field and being beaten by a not-very good Fresno State in the final four minutes of regulation Team. New Mexico isn’t playing well at the moment, and UNLV can certainly capitalize on that reality.

Why New Mexico could cover the spread

The Lobos didn’t fare well in Laramie against the Wyoming Cowboys, and they fared even worse Tuesday in Fresno, conceding their first loss of the season. What’s different about this game? It’s a home game in Albuquerque. New Mexico loves to play in The Pit, one of college basketball’s best home court advantages when New Mexico is good. This season, UNM is a good team. A little home cooking and a chance to rest should do wonders for the Lobos’ energy, precision, ball security, focus and shooting. All you have to do is get home and get back to business.

Also, UNLV doesn’t play well. The Rebels lost to San Jose State and don’t look like the team that won their first 10 games of the season. UNLV does not have a clear top scorer in late game situations. The rebel offensive stalled. New Mexico’s pressured defenses can roast the rebels.

Final UNLV-New Mexico Prediction & Selection

New Mexico plays at home and UNLV lacks a clear point of contact in big situations, suggesting a crucial New Mexico win.

UNLV-New Mexico Final Prediction & Selection: New Mexico -5.5